InStyle

[Caveira]

7 minutes ago, 1032004 said:

Polio is super rare.   Measles is a better comparison, of course still far more rare than Covid.  Why don’t you ask your AI about the 2025 measles outbreak in Colorado.

This is all I came up with.  The COVID vaccine is 100% effective….   Never heard of the Colorado outbreak as well it didn’t go anywhere.   And your just changing the subject because  the Covid vaccine is completely ineffective and we were lied to by your boy 

It’s also a cool song to play on the guitar.  

Edited August 12 by Caveira

[1032004]

6 minutes ago, Caveira said:

This is all I came up with.  The COVID vaccine is 100% effective….   Never heard of the Colorado outbreak as well it didn’t go anywhere.   And your just changing the subject because  the Covid vaccine is completely ineffective and we were lied to by your boy 

It’s also a cool song to play on the guitar.  

I’m not changing the subject.  Just pointing out a couple things in response to your questions:

1. There are many vaccines that require multiple doses.

2. Several of the later covid vaccine doses were specific to different strains, similar to the flu vaccine.

3.  Based on evidence such as the 2025 measles outbreak in Colorado, if there was a worldwide pandemic of measles, more vaccinated people would get that too. 

4. In spite of the different Covid strains resulting in reduced effectiveness against infection, effectiveness against serious illness and death remained strong.  There are literally piles of studies proving this.

 

It still amazes me how many Trump fans (and we know you are one, don’t lie) refuse to acknowledge the success of the Trump vaccine, and worse, sometimes even claim the Trump vaccine killed more than it saved.  In reality, the Trump vaccine was the greatest accomplishment of his first term, and it’s part of the reason I voted for him again.   Thanks Trump for the Trump vaccine!

[Caveira]

8 minutes ago, 1032004 said:

I’m not changing the subject.  Just pointing out a couple things in response to your questions:

1. There are many vaccines that require multiple doses.

2. Several of the later covid vaccine doses were specific to different strains, similar to the flu vaccine.

3.  Based on evidence such as the 2025 measles outbreak in Colorado, if there was a worldwide pandemic of measles, more vaccinated people would get that too. 

4. In spite of the different Covid strains resulting in reduced effectiveness against infection, effectiveness against serious illness and death remained strong.  There are literally piles of studies proving this.

 

It still amazes me how many Trump fans (and we know you are one, don’t lie) refuse to acknowledge the success of the Trump vaccine, and worse, sometimes even claim the Trump vaccine killed more than it saved.  In reality, the Trump vaccine was the greatest accomplishment of his first term, and it’s part of the reason I voted for him again.   Thanks Trump for the Trump vaccine!

You’re a Trump fan you voted for him 3 times.  I voted for him zero.  With that said 

The absolute lowest recorded effectiveness number for the primary COVID-19 vaccine series against infection was 0% to negative effectiveness against the Omicron variant after 6 to 9 months.

Large-scale, peer-reviewed data published in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) and The Lancet confirmed this complete drop:

0% Effectiveness: Data from Qatar and the UK showed that by 25 to 30 weeks (around 6 months) after receiving a second dose of the Pfizer or Moderna vaccine, real-world protection against catching symptomatic Omicron dropped to zero.

[1032004]

7 minutes ago, Caveira said:

You’re a Trump fan you voted for him 3 times.  I voted for him zero.  With that said 

The absolute lowest recorded effectiveness number for the primary COVID-19 vaccine series against infection was 0% to negative effectiveness against the Omicron variant after 6 to 9 months.

Large-scale, peer-reviewed data published in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) and The Lancet confirmed this complete drop:

0% Effectiveness: Data from Qatar and the UK showed that by 25 to 30 weeks (around 6 months) after receiving a second dose of the Pfizer or Moderna vaccine, real-world protection against catching symptomatic Omicron dropped to zero.

Did you vote for President in 2016, 2020, or 2024?

[1032004]

12 minutes ago, Caveira said:

You’re a Trump fan you voted for him 3 times.  I voted for him zero.  With that said 

The absolute lowest recorded effectiveness number for the primary COVID-19 vaccine series against infection was 0% to negative effectiveness against the Omicron variant after 6 to 9 months.

Large-scale, peer-reviewed data published in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) and The Lancet confirmed this complete drop:

0% Effectiveness: Data from Qatar and the UK showed that by 25 to 30 weeks (around 6 months) after receiving a second dose of the Pfizer or Moderna vaccine, real-world protection against catching symptomatic Omicron dropped to zero.

Also, can you share links to the specific studies referenced here?  Thanks in advance.

[Caveira]

41 minutes ago, 1032004 said:

Also, can you share links to the specific studies referenced here?  Thanks in advance.

Faucci got covid 3 Times after getting 86 boosters.  That’s the doc 

[1032004]

1 hour ago, 1032004 said:

Did you vote for President in 2016, 2020, or 2024?

Bump for @Caveira.  My guess is you live in a solid blue or red state and didn’t vote at all because you felt your vote didn’t matter. I know you support Trump but just want to play it off like you don’t by saying you didn’t vote for him.  

[Caveira]

3 minutes ago, 1032004 said:

Bump for @Caveira.  My guess is you live in a solid blue or red state and didn’t vote at all because you felt your vote didn’t matter. I know you support Trump but just want to play it off like you don’t by saying you didn’t vote for him.  

You don’t get to guess maga man 

[Offthemat]

15 hours ago, 1032004 said:

Also, don’t ya think that if the covid vaccine was causing a miscarriage rate of anywhere close to 80%, that the whole world would have noticed?

Think.

Lots of people noticed.  Some talked about it.  Some were nearly screaming it.  What’s your feeble excuse for not knowing it?

[1032004]

9 minutes ago, Offthemat said:

Lots of people noticed.  Some talked about it.  Some were nearly screaming it.  What’s your feeble excuse for not knowing it?

Wait you still think that number isn’t a lie?

hahahahahahah

[Offthemat]

Fauci and friends own words are an admission while you, once again, display your own churlish ignorance. 

[1032004]

4 minutes ago, Offthemat said:

Fauci and friends own words are an admission while you, once again, display your own churlish ignorance. 

Wait, you think Fauci admitted that the vaccine caused an 82% miscarriage rate?

hahahahahahaha

 

(Once again, seems you need to look up the definition of “theoretical”)

[Offthemat]

US Disabilities Hit an All-Time High of 37 Million In July: UP 23% Since Feb 2021

The Signal No One Wants to See

 

ED DOWD: BEYOND THE NARRATIVE

AUG 11, 2026

 

 

 

 

The latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data is out, and the number of Americans ages 16 and over reporting a disability has hit a new all-time high of roughly 37 million. As of July 2026, the Current Population Survey series sits at 37,029,000. That’s not a rounding error or a seasonal blip. It’s the continuation of a trend that broke higher more than five years ago and has refused to mean-revert.

 

I’ve been tracking this series since early in the COVID era. The charts have been public for years on the Phinance Technologies site and in repeated threads on X.Month after month the total population with a disability grinds higher. From the pre-2020 plateau into early 2021 the numbers were relatively stable. Then something changed.

February 2021 marks the clear inflection. The rate of increase shifted to a new, steeper trajectory, a 3-to-4 sigma departure from the prior trend. In the years since, the survey has added seven million people. Growth of that magnitude in a mature population is not normal aging, not “long COVID” in isolation, and not some gradual sociological shift. It was sudden. It has persisted. And it continues to be treated as background noise by the same public health authorities who spent years obsessed with every other metric.

Let me address the predictable objections, because they surface every time these numbers are posted. First: “It’s just fraud. People are gaming disability benefits.” That claim collapses under basic scrutiny of the data source. This is not Social Security Disability Insurance claims. It is not SSDI awards, which lag, require medical determinations, and are subject to administrative backlogs and incentive effects. This is the Current Population Survey, the same monthly household survey that produces the unemployment rate and labor-force participation numbers. Roughly 60,000 households are contacted each month. Six simple questions are asked about serious difficulty hearing, seeing, concentrating/remembering/making decisions, walking or climbing stairs, dressing or bathing, and doing errands alone. Any “yes” classifies the person as having a disability for statistical purposes.

I laid this out in detail years ago in threads that are still easy to find. The series is real-time, not claims-driven, and has nothing to do with benefit eligibility. The questions have been consistent since 2008. Response patterns do not suddenly invent millions of new disabled respondents because the political winds shifted. When the same survey that markets, banks, and the Federal Reserve rely upon for labor-market signals produces a multi-year, multi-sigma break in disability prevalence, the responsible reaction is investigation, not dismissal.

Second: “It’s illegal aliens flooding the numbers.” This one is equally weak. Undocumented immigrants have long been known to under-respond or avoid government surveys altogether out of fear of detection, deportation risk, or general distrust of authorities. They are not lining up to answer detailed questions about household members’ health limitations over the phone or in person. If anything, the survey systematically undercounts this population relative to reality. The sharp, sustained rise in reported disability began in February 2021, well before the largest recent surges in border encounters, and has continued in a manner inconsistent with simple demographic inflows. The data do not support the claim that the disability spike is an artifact of illegal immigration.

Public health agencies and the media have largely ignored the signal. There has been no serious, transparent inquiry into why the disability rate changed slope so sharply in early 2021 and has remained elevated. Temporary explanations such as COVID itself, lockdowns, mental-health effects of isolation all fail the timing and magnitude tests. The virus was already circulating in 2020 without producing this sustained break. The sharpest acceleration aligned with the mass rollout and subsequent workplace mandates. Correlation is not causation; we are constantly reminded. Fair enough, but when a novel medical intervention is administered to hundreds of millions of working-age adults on an accelerated timeline, and the independent, high-frequency survey of population health then records a multi-sigma regime change precisely then, the burden of proof shifts. Authorities who spent years demanding every other correlation be investigated suddenly lose interest.

The economic implications are not abstract. More than 37 million people reporting disability means a permanently larger share of the population facing barriers to full participation. Labor-force participation among the disabled remains far lower than among those without disability. Employers face higher absence rates and higher costs. Insurance pools absorb elevated claims. The fiscal pressure on entitlement programs grows even if this particular survey is not the claims pipeline. All of it is occurring against a backdrop of demographic aging that was already expected to raise disability prevalence gradually but not at the abrupt rate observed since early 2021.

I have posted the charts for years: total population 16+, the civilian labor force subset, men, women, employed versus not. The pattern is consistent. Rate-of-change moderation appears occasionally, then another leg higher. The February 2021 inflection remains the defining feature. A 3-to-4 sigma shift in trend is not something serious analysts discard. It is the kind of signal that, in any other domain…markets, epidemiology, engineering…would trigger immediate forensic review.

Health authorities have chosen another path. The data continues to accumulate. The total population survey keeps printing higher numbers. The questions asked of households have not changed. The methodology is the same one used for the official employment statistics that move markets every month. Yet the disability series is treated as an inconvenience rather than a red flag.

The conclusion from the data is straightforward. The timing, the magnitude, the concentration among the previously healthy working age population, and the failure of alternative explanations all point to the COVID vaccine campaign as one of the primary driver of the excess disability. That is the assessment I have maintained as the numbers have updated. Ignoring a sustained, multi-sigma break in a core government survey does not make the break disappear. It only guarantees that the consequences continue to compound while institutions look the other way.

The July 2026 print at 37 million is simply the latest confirmation. The trend that began in February 2021 has not been explained by health authorities, has not been investigated with appropriate rigor, and has not been reversed. Until that changes, the data will keep speaking whether anyone in authority cares to listen or not.

Please share this post so we can spread this knowledge.

“Hear this, you foolish and senseless people, who have eyes but do not see, who have ears but do not hear.” Jeremiah 5:21
 

https://eddowdbeyondthenarrative.substack.com/p/us-disabilities-hit-an-all-time-high

[1032004]

9 minutes ago, Offthemat said:

 

US Disabilities Hit an All-Time High of 37 Million In July: UP 23% Since Feb 2021

The Signal No One Wants to See

 

ED DOWD: BEYOND THE NARRATIVE

AUG 11, 2026

 

 

 

 

 

The latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data is out, and the number of Americans ages 16 and over reporting a disability has hit a new all-time high of roughly 37 million. As of July 2026, the Current Population Survey series sits at 37,029,000. That’s not a rounding error or a seasonal blip. It’s the continuation of a trend that broke higher more than five years ago and has refused to mean-revert.

 

I’ve been tracking this series since early in the COVID era. The charts have been public for years on the Phinance Technologies site and in repeated threads on X.Month after month the total population with a disability grinds higher. From the pre-2020 plateau into early 2021 the numbers were relatively stable. Then something changed.

February 2021 marks the clear inflection. The rate of increase shifted to a new, steeper trajectory, a 3-to-4 sigma departure from the prior trend. In the years since, the survey has added seven million people. Growth of that magnitude in a mature population is not normal aging, not “long COVID” in isolation, and not some gradual sociological shift. It was sudden. It has persisted. And it continues to be treated as background noise by the same public health authorities who spent years obsessed with every other metric.

Let me address the predictable objections, because they surface every time these numbers are posted. First: “It’s just fraud. People are gaming disability benefits.” That claim collapses under basic scrutiny of the data source. This is not Social Security Disability Insurance claims. It is not SSDI awards, which lag, require medical determinations, and are subject to administrative backlogs and incentive effects. This is the Current Population Survey, the same monthly household survey that produces the unemployment rate and labor-force participation numbers. Roughly 60,000 households are contacted each month. Six simple questions are asked about serious difficulty hearing, seeing, concentrating/remembering/making decisions, walking or climbing stairs, dressing or bathing, and doing errands alone. Any “yes” classifies the person as having a disability for statistical purposes.

I laid this out in detail years ago in threads that are still easy to find. The series is real-time, not claims-driven, and has nothing to do with benefit eligibility. The questions have been consistent since 2008. Response patterns do not suddenly invent millions of new disabled respondents because the political winds shifted. When the same survey that markets, banks, and the Federal Reserve rely upon for labor-market signals produces a multi-year, multi-sigma break in disability prevalence, the responsible reaction is investigation, not dismissal.

Second: “It’s illegal aliens flooding the numbers.” This one is equally weak. Undocumented immigrants have long been known to under-respond or avoid government surveys altogether out of fear of detection, deportation risk, or general distrust of authorities. They are not lining up to answer detailed questions about household members’ health limitations over the phone or in person. If anything, the survey systematically undercounts this population relative to reality. The sharp, sustained rise in reported disability began in February 2021, well before the largest recent surges in border encounters, and has continued in a manner inconsistent with simple demographic inflows. The data do not support the claim that the disability spike is an artifact of illegal immigration.

Public health agencies and the media have largely ignored the signal. There has been no serious, transparent inquiry into why the disability rate changed slope so sharply in early 2021 and has remained elevated. Temporary explanations such as COVID itself, lockdowns, mental-health effects of isolation all fail the timing and magnitude tests. The virus was already circulating in 2020 without producing this sustained break. The sharpest acceleration aligned with the mass rollout and subsequent workplace mandates. Correlation is not causation; we are constantly reminded. Fair enough, but when a novel medical intervention is administered to hundreds of millions of working-age adults on an accelerated timeline, and the independent, high-frequency survey of population health then records a multi-sigma regime change precisely then, the burden of proof shifts. Authorities who spent years demanding every other correlation be investigated suddenly lose interest.

The economic implications are not abstract. More than 37 million people reporting disability means a permanently larger share of the population facing barriers to full participation. Labor-force participation among the disabled remains far lower than among those without disability. Employers face higher absence rates and higher costs. Insurance pools absorb elevated claims. The fiscal pressure on entitlement programs grows even if this particular survey is not the claims pipeline. All of it is occurring against a backdrop of demographic aging that was already expected to raise disability prevalence gradually but not at the abrupt rate observed since early 2021.

I have posted the charts for years: total population 16+, the civilian labor force subset, men, women, employed versus not. The pattern is consistent. Rate-of-change moderation appears occasionally, then another leg higher. The February 2021 inflection remains the defining feature. A 3-to-4 sigma shift in trend is not something serious analysts discard. It is the kind of signal that, in any other domain…markets, epidemiology, engineering…would trigger immediate forensic review.

Health authorities have chosen another path. The data continues to accumulate. The total population survey keeps printing higher numbers. The questions asked of households have not changed. The methodology is the same one used for the official employment statistics that move markets every month. Yet the disability series is treated as an inconvenience rather than a red flag.

The conclusion from the data is straightforward. The timing, the magnitude, the concentration among the previously healthy working age population, and the failure of alternative explanations all point to the COVID vaccine campaign as one of the primary driver of the excess disability. That is the assessment I have maintained as the numbers have updated. Ignoring a sustained, multi-sigma break in a core government survey does not make the break disappear. It only guarantees that the consequences continue to compound while institutions look the other way.

The July 2026 print at 37 million is simply the latest confirmation. The trend that began in February 2021 has not been explained by health authorities, has not been investigated with appropriate rigor, and has not been reversed. Until that changes, the data will keep speaking whether anyone in authority cares to listen or not.

Please share this post so we can spread this knowledge.

“Hear this, you foolish and senseless people, who have eyes but do not see, who have ears but do not hear.” Jeremiah 5:21
 

https://eddowdbeyondthenarrative.substack.com/p/us-disabilities-hit-an-all-time-high

Ed Dowd  this dude is an absolute fraud.  Your sources are awful 

[1032004]

Ed Dowd wrote a book basically claiming that all excess deaths were caused by the vaccine.   On the literal cover, he included a photo of a child who never received the vaccine (and used the photo without the permission of the boys’ parents).  A textbook lying grifter.

Edited August 16 by 1032004

[JimmySpeaks]

The ole my sources are perfect but yours are awful card.  Typical 21 yr old 

[1032004]

6 hours ago, JimmySpeaks said:

The ole my sources are perfect but yours are awful card.  Typical 21 yr old 

Ed Dowd is a proven liar.  Like @Offthemat, so I guess birds of a feather flock together. 

[JimmySpeaks]

3 hours ago, 1032004 said:

Ed Dowd is a proven liar.  Like @Offthemat, so I guess birds of a feather flock together. 

You’re a proven liar so what’s your point?? 

[1032004]

20 minutes ago, JimmySpeaks said:

You’re a proven liar so what’s your point?? 

Please post evidence of a lie I posted.   I just posted one of Dowd’s lies and can easily rattle off 3 or 4 from @Offthemat

[JimmySpeaks]

27 minutes ago, 1032004 said:

Please post evidence of a lie I posted.   I just posted one of Dowd’s lies and can easily rattle off 3 or 4 from @Offthemat

I tried to find something you’ve posted that isn’t bullshit.  I couldn’t do it 

[1032004]

10 minutes ago, JimmySpeaks said:

I tried to find something you’ve posted that isn’t bullshit.  I couldn’t do it 

I accept your surrender 

[Caveira]

40 minutes ago, 1032004 said:

Please post evidence of a lie I posted.   I just posted one of Dowd’s lies and can easily rattle off 3 or 4 from @Offthemat

Polish people are stupid.    There is a start 

[1032004]

4 minutes ago, Caveira said:

Polish people are stupid.    There is a start 

You seem really triggered about that clearly sarcastic comment lol.  Troll succesful 

[Caveira]

31 minutes ago, 1032004 said:

You seem really triggered about that clearly sarcastic comment lol.  Troll succesful 

You seem obsessed and irrational 

[JimmySpeaks]

2 hours ago, 1032004 said:

I accept your surrender 

The fact you claim you voted for trump proves you’re a liar.  You’ve been relegated to being in your knees again.