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Wrestleknownothing

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Everything posted by Wrestleknownothing

  1. Your Target gift card is not currency. It is like a deposit at a bank minus the FDIC insurance and any interest payments. And instead of withdrawing the cash that was deposited, you can withdraw goods. You also have credit exposure to Target. If they go bankrupt, you become an unsecured creditor.
  2. I took your advice and just bought a Four Roses Small Batch Select. I used dollars.
  3. Not always. The SEC has been clear that they do not consider bitcoin or ethereum to be securities.
  4. A more complete statement is that no currency has intrinsic value. A currency is a collective fiction, but it works to the extent that it is a useful fiction. A dollar bill is worth a certain amount of a good or service because we all agree it is worth that. Our agreement is based on trust in a central body and its institutions. When the trust breaks down, the currency breaks down. See Venezuela, or any country that is losing a war. The point of a crypto currency is that it does not rely on the trusted central body. It is still a collective fiction, but it does not require trust to work. And the idea that a government could shut it down is not completely accurate. It is difficult to shut down crypto locally, but nearly impossible to do so globally. And there is certainly an argument for them if you are in any jurisdiction that is subject to US sanctions. US sanctions are so effective because the dollar is the world's reserve currency. Losing access to the US banking and money transfer system can be devastating as a result. Unless there is an alternative.
  5. Thanks. Not on Twitter myself, so wasn't sure. As for bitcoin and ethereum, I do think a case can be made that they are unique within the crypto space and not necessarily fantasy, nor strictly neccesary, but absolutely interesting. At least to my way of thinking.
  6. If I was running a casino I would definitely adjust the line lower at this point as more "money" has come in on Beard than Dean. I chose -2.5 initially because we have the presumption of a wrestleoff having occured, plus the rumor of a 1 point Dean win in the presumed wrestleoff. Then add in a Dean NC and you have to go higher. One guy won and one guy didn't. That has to count for something. And you can minimize the win by talking about favorable calls, but you cannot eliminate the win. Sure, we have the example of Cassar who didn't win the 197 spot against Rasheed, but then followed it up with a NC that included two wins against a generational talent to suggest that Beard can do the same. But until it happens, it hasn't happened. Anyway, that was my reasoning for -2.5. But as I say, if I was running a casino I would drop that to -2 or maybe -1.5 based on current betting.
  7. Dean pins Lehigh's Morrison. I think Beard ducked him.
  8. That sounds to me like the initial estimated economics from the platform did not work as well as hoped (it happens with projections), so individual channels requested the PPV option?
  9. And sometimes it shouts from the mountain top.
  10. You are correct. Lehigh in 3 weeks, Lock Haven tonight. Doh.
  11. The rematch of the rumored wrestle off (supposedly Dean by 1) happens tonight in three weeks. If I set the spread at Dean - 2.5, who ya got?
  12. Funny, I was just watching his QF against Retherford last night and the first time the announcer said his name it came out pan-TA-leo. It hurt my ears.
  13. I bet you know how my apartment smells too.
  14. Based on this week's individual wrestler rankings. As a reminder: I equate rank with seed Expected points is based on the average placement and advancement points by seed from 2010 - 2022 Max Points is based on the maximum placement and advancement points if the rank equals the final placement Mean Points is like Max except it accounts for the fact that there are multiple paths for wrestlers to finish third through twenty-fourth, and therefore multiple possible advancement point outcomes. I added these last two columns because of the difference between where anOSU and Mizzou would finish in the Intermat rankings based on different ways to count points.
  15. Also a great point. If you are leading by two, two and a half or three, MFF and lock in the one point win, half point win or tie. Hmmm. Let's speculate on which coach would stoop so low.
  16. I mentioned that I needed to add bonus points into my estimations of team finishes based on the major ranking services. Turns out that extracting bonus point data at the individual wrestler level is a very heavy lift, so in true know nothing form, I did not do that lift. Instead I took a look at the total bonus points per year by weight from 2010 - 2022. I separated the first and last rounds from the middle rounds on each side of the bracket to create six categories. As expected, it gets harder to score bonus points as the tournament goes on, with one exception: The exception is in the third, fifth, and seventh place matches (Last Round, Consolation Bracket). But this number is greatly inflated by the number of medical forfeits in those matches. Which raises the question, should bonus points be awarded for medical forfeits in the third, fifth, and seventh place matches given that there is a chance that could decide a team podium position? It looks like this happened in 2015. Missouri beat out Cornell for fourth by two points. And in the 141 seventh place match, Lavion Mayes received the automatic extra placement point and two bonus points when Anthony Ashnault was unable to wrestle for a potential three point swing. The next closest this came to happening was 2016. Virginia Tech beat out Iowa for fourth place by a single point. If either of Iowa's two eighth place finishers that year had instead been the beneficiary of a MFF they would have come in third.
  17. You are making the assumption that my contribution would have been greater than zero otherwise. Since this is the first time I have ever made a contribution, your assumption is on shaky ground.
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