Way too early look at allocations

[bracketbuster]

I know there are 3 arms of allocations and you need to hit 2 but just out of curiosity I was looking at what early allocations forecasts could be since a lot of coaches seem to rank by media rankings so I took the top 29 ranked wrestlers by intermat and allocated a spot to each conference. If a conference didn't have a top 29 wrestler, I took away a spot for the #29 ranked and give it to the unrepresented conference.

Seems like a higher number of seniors in the rankings than I would expect but I guess this is kind of the double covid year where kids who entered College in 2020-21 and 2021-22 are both entering their season years assuming they did not redshirt and used the free year in 2021. I guess next year will be another "double" senior class for those who took a COVID year free and the redshirt.

Of the top 29 at each weight
Seniors - 123 (42.4%)
Juniors - 81 (27.9%)
Sophomores - 61 (21.0%)
Freshman - 25 (8.6%)

Top 8 (Projected All-Americans)
Seniors - 38 (47.5%)
Juniors - 22 (27.5%)
Sophomores - 17 (21.3%)
Freshman - 3 (3.8%): McEnelly (Minn.), Norma (Stanford), Arnold (Iowa)

 

Edited yesterday at 06:47 AM by bracketbuster

[nhs67]

I am curious how they handle the EIWA and Ivy this year.

They showed how to NOT handle it a few years ago when the Ivy shut down for the year.

[bracketbuster]

4 hours ago, nhs67 said:

I am curious how they handle the EIWA and Ivy this year.

They showed how to NOT handle it a few years ago when the Ivy shut down for the year.

I think that was only the shortened season where they relied on historical data in 2021 since most of the conferences where competing only against each other during the regular season and it made it hard to rank They just never took into account how many spots the Ivies earned for the EIWA even though they weren't competing that season.

This year should be the same as the previous normal years where every conference is guaranteed one spot per weight and then you get additional ones for multiple wrestlers who are ranked high enough in 2/3 categories from coaches rank, RPI, and D1 winning percentage.

[Interviewed_at_Weehawken]

3 minutes ago, bracketbuster said:

I think that was only the shortened season where they relied on historical data in 2021 since most of the conferences where competing only against each other during the regular season and it made it hard to rank They just never took into account how many spots the Ivies earned for the EIWA even though they weren't competing that season.

This year should be the same as the previous normal years where every conference is guaranteed one spot per weight and then you get additional ones for multiple wrestlers who are ranked high enough in 2/3 categories from coaches rank, RPI, and D1 winning percentage.

The Ivies were still technically in the EIWA in 2021, so the EIWA got those spots.  That was the rationale given at the time.

Now the Ivies have formed their own qualifier, so they will get the spots based on the formula.

[Idaho]

I believe the Pac-12 is:  1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1