To Mark This Momentous Occasion

[Wrestleknownothing]

It is with great honor and humility that I accept this invitation to the Illini and Illini RTC Fans page. As an Illinois resident and father of a Illini who never fought, I feel it is my duty to show up to the club bearing presents.

Using the most recent rankings available from Intermat and Wrestlestat lets take a look at The Illini by the numbers.

First, what does Intermat have against our Illini?

• Other than the too formal Zach, Wrestlestat favors the Illini in 4 of the 10 weights and by 2.6 expected points overall.
• The negative biggest delta is Edmond Ruth, where Intermat does not want to put due respect on that name.
• On the flip side, Intermat is not penalizing Lucas Byrd nearly as much as the Wrestlestat algo appears to for taking a redshirt.

Trend

But at least the trend is your friend. With the exception of Attasauov, Intermat has remained the same or upgraded the rankings of the Illini.

 

Is Illinois Better Than Penn State?

Before you answer that question take a look at the distribution of AA probabilities for the Illini from 0 to 10 based on current Wrestlestat rankings. Now glance all the way over to the furthest right column, the one that says 10. Now squint. If you squint hard enough you will see that the probability of 10 AAs is a positive, non-zero number. I point this out because the PSU graph has a big fat zero in that column.

I'm not sayin', I'm just sayin'.

[ionel]

We all knew this, nice to have data to confirm. 

Who possibly has a chance of beating a team consisting of: The Destroyer of Worlds, two Branys, the big Luffman, a chirping Byrd & The Paciknow, The Dictionary, Attaboy, Jason Kraisser aka Rob Rohn and Scoles.   They can't be stopped! 

Edited November 7 by ionel

[ILLINIWrestlingBlog]

3 hours ago, Wrestleknownothing said:

It is with great honor and humility that I accept this invitation to the Illini and Illini RTC Fans page. As an Illinois resident and father of a Illini who never fought, I feel it is my duty to show up to the club bearing presents.

Using the most recent rankings available from Intermat and Wrestlestat lets take a look at The Illini by the numbers.

First, what does Intermat have against our Illini?

• Other than the too formal Zach, Wrestlestat favors the Illini in 4 of the 10 weights and by 2.6 expected points overall.
• The negative biggest delta is Edmond Ruth, where Intermat does not want to put due respect on that name.
• On the flip side, Intermat is not penalizing Lucas Byrd nearly as much as the Wrestlestat algo appears to for taking a redshirt.

Trend

But at least the trend is your friend. With the exception of Attasauov, Intermat has remained the same or upgraded the rankings of the Illini.

 

Is Illinois Better Than Penn State?

Before you answer that question take a look at the distribution of AA probabilities for the Illini from 0 to 10 based on current Wrestlestat rankings. Now glance all the way over to the furthest right column, the one that says 10. Now squint. If you squint hard enough you will see that the probability of 10 AAs is a positive, non-zero number. I point this out because the PSU graph has a big fat zero in that column.

I'm not sayin', I'm just sayin'.

 

I couldn't decide whether to give this the Brain, the Fire or the Laughing Face. You deserve at least one of each. This was funny, intelligent and hot! 

The Black Shoes diary fellow (a good guy) is supposed to hook up with "The Voice of the ILLINI" Brian Swaw and me for a podcast and blog event prior to the ILLINI/PSU dual. I've already told him that my prediction will be that the ILLINI will spladle all ten Nittany Lions.

That should provoke discussion. 

Special mention for your graphs that depict the range of probabilities. I know we've already discussed it, but every time I see it, I think, man, that's the best and only way to depict that type of information without spending 10,000 words. I may start doing that for dual previews. It would provide the handiest answer to the question: How many matches are the ILLINI likely to win in this upcoming dual. 

Thank you for this gift. It is greatly appreciated. 

 

[ionel]

if we get one more post do we bump MP and friends back into the cellar?  

[ionel]

54 minutes ago, ionel said:

if we get one more post do we bump MP and friends back into the cellar?  

So no one else is going to test this theory?  

[ILLINIWrestlingBlog]

4 hours ago, ionel said:

if we get one more post do we bump MP and friends back into the cellar?  

By far the most reasonable Buckeye poster on any board anywhere at any time? @MPhillips should be kidnapped and studied. The future of mankind may depend upon it!

[ionel]

2 minutes ago, ILLINIWrestlingBlog said:

By far the most reasonable Buckeye poster on any board anywhere at any time? @MPhillips should be kidnapped and studied. The future of mankind may depend upon it!

... get on it!