We have a few fellow posters in the path of Helene. Wrestlingrasta is one. Could be a Cat 4 or5. Everyone be safe.

[WrestlingRasta]

Damn, sorry to hear that. 

[Paul158]

5 hours ago, jross said:

FIL home under 3 feet of water; ruined as well.  Legit just remodeled, new floors, new furniture…

 

5 hours ago, jross said:

FIL home under 3 feet of water; ruined as well.  Legit just remodeled, new floors, new furniture…

Sorry to hear that. Hurricanes show no mercy.

[WrestlingRasta]

No rest for the weary.  Here’s a model run for this Thursday, from one that has been pretty accurate this season.   If holds, eyewall already in place before it even gets into the gulf.  That’s bad news for wherever it goes. 
 

[Saylors_Tiny_Willie]

And water temperatures in the gulf are rising.

 

[WrestlingRasta]

As they are this time every year...

[mspart]

Why was NC hit so hard?   Seems wild.   Amount of rain or wind?   Or both?   Asheville got hammered. 

mspart

[Saylors_Tiny_Willie]

7 hours ago, mspart said:

Why was NC hit so hard?   Seems wild.   Amount of rain or wind?   Or both?   Asheville got hammered. 

mspart

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/why-helene-s-floods-caught-north-carolina-off-guard/ar-AA1ruX14

[Paul158]

7 hours ago, mspart said:

Why was NC hit so hard?   Seems wild.   Amount of rain or wind?   Or both?   Asheville got hammered. 

mspart

I live about 80 miles east of all the damage. I was watching on the radar as it was coming up Georgia and South Carolina. It moved very fast until it got to North Carolina then it stalled out over western North Carolina. The storm on the radar grew as it was coming up through. The rain that normally would have been dumped in Florida, Georgia and South Carolina was still in the Helena when it arrived in North Carolina. Then it stalled when it hit the mountains for some reason. Some areas got 20 to 30 inches of rain in a very short period of time. Worse flooding I've ever seen.

[Saylors_Tiny_Willie]

Meteorologists are saying October will be busy.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/weather/2024/10/01/october-hurricane-forecast-says-kirk-could-kick-off-big-storms/75468124007/

[Offthemat]

2 hours ago, Paul158 said:

I live about 80 miles east of all the damage. I was watching on the radar as it was coming up Georgia and South Carolina. It moved very fast until it got to North Carolina then it stalled out over western North Carolina. The storm on the radar grew as it was coming up through. The rain that normally would have been dumped in Florida, Georgia and South Carolina was still in the Helena when it arrived in North Carolina. Then it stalled when it hit the mountains for some reason. Some areas got 20 to 30 inches of rain in a very short period of time. Worse flooding I've ever seen.

Yes, it’s like it stalled out, which is usually caused by conflicting fronts.  When asked for his prediction for the rest of this season, my favorite meteorologist said the country will likely be hit by four more storms, two will probably be hurricane level. 

[WrestlingRasta]

September-October is always the high alert time of year for us.  Particularly those storms that get into the gulf as those water temps are so warm this time of year.   My biggest concern for this month is a storm that is able to develop enough that it forms an eyewall before entering the gulf.  If that happens, it's going to be very bad news for wherever it goes.

[Paul158]

6 hours ago, Offthemat said:

Yes, it’s like it stalled out, which is usually caused by conflicting fronts.  When asked for his prediction for the rest of this season, my favorite meteorologist said the country will likely be hit by four more storms, two will probably be hurricane level. 

The terrain in the mountains is another huge factor. Funneling all that water into 20 or 30 creeks and rivers is a recipe for disaster. Had that area been flatter the flooding would have been bad but not nearly as destructive. But the stalling of that massive storm really made this a huge destructive disaster.

[Offthemat]

North Carolina Asks Zelensky For $100 Billion In U.S. Funding

U.S.· Oct 3, 2024 · BabylonBee.com 

Click here to view this article with reduced ads. 

RALEIGH, NC — With civilians working hard to rescue their neighbors along the path of devastation left behind by Hurricane Helene and FEMA revealing a lack of available money, the state of North Carolina asked Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky for $100 Billion in U.S. funding.

https://babylonbee.com/news/north-carolina-asks-zelensky-for-100-billion-in-us-funding

[Saylors_Tiny_Willie]

https://www.mediaite.com/politics/they-can-control-the-weather-claims-marjorie-taylor-greene-after-deadly-hurricane-helene-kills-more-than-200/

[WrestlingRasta]

This turned out to be a historical tragedy......maybe we can keep the garbage spitting out of this one?

[WrestlingRasta]

Models for this Tuesday/Wednesday.  All have it hurricane strength, on of them as a major.  More concerned about how much rain. We’re pretty saturated around here.  
 

Off for a little paddle around the island at Fort Myers Beach, see how much progress they’ve made since last week.  Happy weekend all!  

 

 

[Offthemat]

Looks like a lot of rain to me.  
 

https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/tropical-depression-forms-expected-to-strengthen-into-a-hurricane-and-target-florida/1699524

[WrestlingRasta]

1 hour ago, Offthemat said:

Looks like a lot of rain to me.  
 

https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/tropical-depression-forms-expected-to-strengthen-into-a-hurricane-and-target-florida/1699524

Yep

[WrestlingRasta]

Latest updates are tightening up the tracks on us. Right now calling for an upper level cat 3, some models higher. I got 2+ cans of propane, 3 bags of charcoal, water, gas shitload of canned foods and moving the bbq pit into the garage, set up and ready for post storm.   Looks like no matter what it’s going to be a ride this week.  I’ll be good here. I’m about 12 feet above the water, my house locks up real tight and I got a brand new roof from Ian.  Gitty up. 

[Paul158]

3 hours ago, WrestlingRasta said:

Latest updates are tightening up the tracks on us. Right now calling for an upper level cat 3, some models higher. I got 2+ cans of propane, 3 bags of charcoal, water, gas shitload of canned foods and moving the bbq pit into the garage, set up and ready for post storm.   Looks like no matter what it’s going to be a ride this week.  I’ll be good here. I’m about 12 feet above the water, my house locks up real tight and I got a brand new roof from Ian.  Gitty up. 

Be safe. Looks like you are prepared. What type of shingles do they use down there and how do they install them? Do you have any special high impact windows for flying debris?

[WrestlingRasta]

PitDock broken down and garaged. Ready to roll after the rodeo is over. 

[WrestlingRasta]

22 minutes ago, Paul158 said:

Be safe. Looks like you are prepared. What type of shingles do they use down there and how do they install them? Do you have any special high impact windows for flying debris?

Have electric roll down shutters for 90% of the house, including closing off the back porch which gives me more covered space. Have one triple slider at the pool that is accordion shutters that will probably need some reinforcement.  They have me a workout during the back half of Ian 

[Saylors_Tiny_Willie]

NHC shows it as a tightly organized system which is expected to swiftly strengthen, given the 85+ degree water temps in the western Gulf of Mexico.

Best wishes for everyone in its path.

This thing looks like another monster.
 

[Saylors_Tiny_Willie]

https://www.forbes.com/sites/marshallshepherd/2024/10/06/a-worst-case-hurricane-scenario-could-be-emerging-for-tampa-bay/

[WrestlingRasta]

Did some rearrangement and some trimming down, set up shop on back porch (lanai in Florida talk).  Roll down shutters I spoke of will come down Just behind these units, on each side of the vertical blocks. There’s a couch and patio table in this area you can’t see in the picture, and with the shutters down it just gives us more “indoor” space. Compared to Ian, I’m better on supplies and a 1 year old roof compared to an 18 year old roof. One big piece missing but nothing I can do about that. Speakers will be charged and we’ll be ready for da riddems.
 

As I’ve led to before, I work in this community and if it does land anywhere in the current cone, particularly anywhere Tampa or south, the south end of our community and up the river, plus our barrier islands, are going to take a serious hit. Hoping it’s just one of those that gets much weaker on approach than expected, although the opposite is what has been happening in recent history.  Can’t hope it tips north of current tracks because those folks have taken a beating the last couple years.  Buckle up friends it’s going to be a ride 

.