Michigan VS North Carolina

[nhs67]

Greetings All,

We have what should amount to be a very close dual here today at 3:00 PM (US-Eastern).

Any thoughts on it?

[nhs67]

They have common opponent from Friday evening in Campbell:

Michigan defeated Campbell 26-6

https://www.wrestlestat.com/event/67042/michigan-campbell-dual/boxscore

North Carolina defeated Campbell 24-10

https://www.wrestlestat.com/event/67044/north-carolina-campbell-dual/boxscore

[nhs67]

Wrestlestat has it with Michigan over North Carolina 20-13 with this:

125 - Kurt McHenry (Michigan) over Jack Wagner (North Carolina) DEC 9 - 8

UofM 3-0

133 - Dylan Ragusin (Michigan) over Joey Melendez (North Carolina) DEC 8 - 4

UofM 6-0

141 - Cole Mattin (Michigan) over Lachlan McNeil (North Carolina) DEC 7 - 6

UofM 9-0

149 -Zach Sherman (North Carolina) over Chance Lamer (Michigan) DEC 6 - 5

UofM 9-3

157 - Austin O'Connor (North Carolina) over Will Lewan (Michigan) DEC 5 - 4

UofM 9-6

165 - Cameron Amine (Michigan) over Joey Mazzara (North Carolina) MD 13 - 3

UofM 13-6

174 - Clay Lautt (North Carolina) over Max Maylor (Michigan) MD 14 - 3

UofM 13-10

184 - Matt Finesilver (Michigan) over Gavin Kane (North Carolina) DEC 7 - 6

UofM 16-10

197 - Max Shaw (North Carolina) over Bobby Striggow (Michigan) DEC 6 - 3

UofM 16-13

285 - Mason Parris (Michigan) over Brandon Whitman (North Carolina) MD 15 - 4

UofM 20-13

https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/40/michigan/46/north-carolina

[nhs67]

We will obviously see different lineups than this.

[nhs67]

This is what Wrestlestat 'projects" with the lineups I am thinking we see:

125 - Kurt McHenry (Michigan) over Jack Wagner (North Carolina) DEC 9 - 8

UofM 3-0

133 - Dylan Ragusin (Michigan) over Joey Melendez (North Carolina) DEC 8 - 4

UofM 6-0

141 - Cole Mattin (Michigan) over Lachlan McNeil (North Carolina) DEC 7 - 6

UofM 9-0

149 - Chance Lamer over Jayden Scott DEC 12 - 5

UofM 12-0

157 - Will Lewan over Sincere Bailey DEC 10 - 3

UofM 15-0

165 - Joey Mazzara over Zack Mattin DEC 9 - 6

UofM 15-3

UofM 13-6

174 -Clay Lautt over Joseph Walker DEC 6 - 5 

UofM 15-6

184 - Matt Finesilver (Michigan) over Gavin Kane (North Carolina) DEC 7 - 6

UofM 18-6

197 - Max Shaw (North Carolina) over Jaden Bullock (Michigan) DEC 7 - 6

UofM 18-9

285 - Mason Parris (Michigan) over Brandon Whitman (North Carolina) MD 15 - 4

UofM 22-9

[nhs67]

And I will leave you with my thoughts/predictiona:

125 - I think their matches on Friday showed us a lot in what to expect in this match, and I do think McHenry gets the nod again.  Wager wins via Decision.

UNC 3-0

133 - After Friday I was on the fence as to if it would be Hernandez here today.  Honestly I see a very similar result eother way.  A decent 5-6 point Decision victory for Ragusin.

Tied 3-3

141 - McNeil may come out and take him down a time or two early, but Mattin is a grinder and he gets points late.  Mattin via Decision.  A 6-4/8-6 type match.

UofM 6-3

149 - I am thinking Lamer gets Scott to open up a bit and capitalizes.  He did wrestle Hensen tough, but Verk beat him by 5.  That is like getting Majored by most.  I still think a 3-4 point Decision for Lamer is in order here.

UofM 9-3

157 - No O'Conner here and UNC doesn't have anyone elae who can out-Lewan Will Lewan.  Lewan via Decision.

UofM 12-3

165 - Mattin showed a gear that should earn him spot starts at 165 or 157 down the line.  I expect a similar result to Friday, even though I think Mattin wrestles this one better.  Mazzara is just better than the Campbell kid.  Mazzara via Decision.

UofM 12-6

174 - I am calling my shot here.  Lautt wrestles matches too close and he isn't going to be able to horse Walker very easily.  Add in that Walker is the better athlete and he takes this via Decision in OT.

UofM 15-6

184 - Finesilver again shows that if his neutral game has jumped levels in the offseason.  Pulls a Major here.

UofM 19-6

197 - I am so going to write a letter if we see Yatooma instead of Bullock again.  Shaw Majors or Pins Yatooma.  Bullock amd Shaw go back and forth with Shaw squeaking out the Decision.

UofM 19-9

285 - Parris Pins Whitman.

UofM 25-9

[MPhillips]

Michigan / North Carolina on a Sunday afternoon sounds great. My first look at the Wolverines. Looking forward to it. 

[nhs67]

11 minutes ago, MPhillips said:

Michigan / North Carolina on a Sunday afternoon sounds great. My first look at the Wolverines. Looking forward to it. 

I have UNC winning 125 amd 197 and UofM winning 141, 174, and 184.  UNC could absolutely win all of those and is favored at 174 pretty heavily.  If Bullock (or Finesilver - both are listed as 184/197 on their official roster) doesn't go at 197 UMC can win via bonus there.

[Sheerstress]

Meet started at 141.  Wins at 141 - 157.  Zach Mattin dropped a decision at 165.  Maylor starting up against Lautt.

[Sheerstress]

So far:

141:  C. Mattin dec. McNeil 9-3

149:  Lamer dec. Nini 6-3

157:  Lewan dec. Bailey 3-2

165:  Mazzara dec. Z. Mattin 7-3

174:  Lautt dec Taylor 4-1

184:  Finesilver dec. Kane 4-0

Michigan up 12-6 over North Carolina.

[nhs67]

Maylor has the strength of an averafe 149lber.

He should not ve wrestling 174 in the B1G.

Walker beats the version if Lautt that showed up.

[nhs67]

Bullock match went how I thought at 197.  That shows me he is the guy for us there.

[Sheerstress]

197:  Shaw dec. Bullock 3-2

HWT: Parris pin. Whitman (2:30)

125:  Wagner dec. Medley 5-4

133:  Ragusin TF Hernandez 20-5

 

Final dual score:     Michigan 23   -  North Carolina 12

[MPhillips]

Just finished the first match. Mattin looked good.  Why would McNeil choose down in the third? Did he want to practice getting ridden?

FFS! Do they shoot the entire dual through the net?!? 

[nhs67]

Honestly I did not expect Mattin to dominate like that.

Also Z.Mattin has the skill and motor to succeed at 165, he just needs more meat.