This is a very smart comment, and I agree both coaches, and all top coaches have moved beyond the concept that dual meet performance is anything other than tertiary window dressing.
Yeah, it's nice to win at home, but the whole schedule, as well as the way coaches structurally and competitively manage their seasons, is so overweighted for March, that I wouldn't be surprised to see this outcome either.
As part of the structural thing, I think its important to note that being a college wrestling coach seems to be a much more year-round position than it was in it was ten years ago. A lot more press and hype is given to getting college age guys to medal at age-group worlds or to make senior teams than it used to be. Overall I think this is a great thing, but I believe the best coaches now budget their wrestlers' mileage on a 12 month basis rather than a 4-month basis.