Lowest seed to win

[Wrestleknownothing]

In seven of the past eleven tournaments at least one wrestler ranked outside of the top 4 has won a title.

Who will it be this year?

[Eagle26]

Not sure who but I’m guessing it happens at 197

[Twooooo]

I totally agree the most likely weight this happens is at 197.  Obviously it could happen at any weight but my money would be at 197.

I think this chart shows how well the committee does at seeding these wrestlers.

Looks like on average, 73 percent of the champs are seeded 1 or 2.   85 percent are seeded 1, 2 or 3 and a whopping 93 percent are seeding in the top 4.