Have seen so many people who have Spencer favored to win (again) online. Granted, a few of the guys at 57kg have moved up (harutyunyan, zhou from china, Aman not competing). But still, in the last year he got tech’d by Harutyunyan, pinned at raf, headlocked for a loss by Luke, and nearly went the whole 6 mins against Teske and Knox. As noted by other poster it is definitely the weakest field so he may have a clear path to gold if things line up / peoples cuts go poorly. I also think this year will be his last legitimate shot to win gold in his career (assuming he doesn’t leave HWC for another club).
He won’t beat the Chong if they meet in the finals.