NCAA Expected Champs / Points - Coaches' Rank Edition

[Wrestleknownothing]

With the Coaches' Rank being published along side the allocations we can see who the coaches think will win.

Surprise, surprise. They seem to be picking a plucky, young upstart of a program. No one saw this coming.

And Iowa returns to second with NC State and Oklahoma State joining them on the expected podium. But really all of those slots are "too close to call".

 

The first two columns above will be strongly influenced by the state of one right knee.

As the #1 ranked wrestler at 174, Starocci currently accounts for 20.5 expected points, but two inj defaults at the Big 10 tournament probably knocks him down to the #3-#6 seed range, costing about 6 - 11 expected points. If he can't go, then the impact is probably closer to 18 or 19 expected points.

[cowcards]

7 hours ago, Wrestleknownothing said:

With the Coaches' Rank being published along side the allocations we can see who the coaches think will win.

Surprise, surprise. They seem to be picking a plucky, young upstart of a program. No one saw this coming.

And Iowa returns to second with NC State and Oklahoma State joining them on the expected podium. But really all of those slots are "too close to call".

 

The first two columns above will be strongly influenced by the state of one right knee.

As the #1 ranked wrestler at 174, Starocci currently accounts for 20.5 expected points, but two inj defaults at the Big 10 tournament probably knocks him down to the #3-#6 seed range, costing about 6 - 11 expected points. If he can't go, then the impact is probably closer to 18 or 19 expected points.

He has scored 21, 22, & 24 points at each tournament he has entered. How does a bad knee affect that? Or if he can't go, who takes his place and how many points can they score? Either way, it doesn't look like it matters much.