To illustrate everyone's point one more way: Mendez, as national champ, is undefeated at 141 until Big 10s next year. Ono is also undefeated at 141, but techs every single guy he faces in the first period the entire season. Mendez will be ranked #1 on every site, because he cannot, on ranking principles, drop until he loses. However, everyone and their mother will be "predicting" an Ono over Mendez result at Big 10s--including the rankers who have Ono slotted #2 on their website. Rankings and predictions are closely correlated--but rankings are win/loss reward based, not predictive, in their purpose.