Venue: FedExForum (Memphis, Tennessee)
Date: December 12, 2009
Tonight BJ Penn will defend his lightweight belt against Diego “Nightmare” Sanchez in UFC 107’s main event. The UFC Monster is on vacation in Seattle. Off of a successful UFC 106 prediction preview, let’s see what we can do tonight with the eleven (11) matches scheduled. Short on time, I will advance to the fictitious $1000 bankroll. Unfortunately, there will be little room for error, as I like all the favorites in tonight’s card … and in mixed martial arts fighting, that can be a dangerous proposition. Money management and smart distribution of risk will determine our outcome.
In the words of Mike Goldberg, "And, here we go!" …
Let’s lay $275 to win $100 on BJ Penn (-275) to submit Diego Sanchez in the third
Let’s lay $120 to win $60 on Frank Mir (-200) to submit Cheik Kongo by choke in first.
Let’s lay $120 to win $60 on Kenny Florian (-200) to win decision over Clay Guida.
Let’s lay $100 to win $80 on Stefan Struve (-125) to chokeout Headhunter Paul Buentello.
Let’s lay $ 80 to win $20 on Jon Fitch (-400) to win decision over Mike Pierce.
Let’s lay $ 42 to win $40 on Wilson Gouveia (-105) to KO Alan Belcher in the second.
Let’s lay $ 80 to win $20 on Johny Hendricks (-400) to KO Ricardo Funch in the second.
Let’s lay $120 to win $40 on Rousimar Palhares (-300) to submit Lucio Linhares in first.
Let’s lay $ 65 to win $20 on Matt Wiman (-325) to ground-and-pound Shane Nelson.
Let’s lay $ 72 to win $30 on edgar Garcia (-240) to KO Marques Johnson in the first.
Let’s lay $ 26 to win $20 on TJ Grant to win a close decision over Kevin Burns.
In total we are risking $995 to win $430. That’s why they call it gambling.
GOOD LUCK and enjoy the fights. I know I will. And, please don’t forget to support your local youth wrestling program, where future champions are born.
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